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Billions predicted dead by 2100
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brian_in_idaho



Joined: 09 Jun 2006
Posts: 283
Location: Northern Idaho

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2006 3:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

perdidochas wrote: AllAmericanMan wrote: I typed out this paragraph from a national geographic magazine article by hand. The article is titled "A Deeper Shade of Green" and it's written by Bill McKibben.

Very interesting paragraph and the rest of the article is as well. How long can we continue to ignore scientists warnings? Because they are becoming more severe.

In the 1970s, they predicted that the world's food supply would collapse if the world population got to 6 billion. We are at 6.8 billion, and the proportion of starving people in the world is lower than it was when the population was at 4 billion. Scientists are predictably bad at forecasting the future.

The mid 70's was also a period of some relativly cold winters. Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.
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Stevv



Joined: 14 Aug 2006
Posts: 14

Posted: Thu Aug 17, 2006 9:20 am    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.
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perdidochas



Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 15424
Location: Florida

Posted: Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:43 am    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

Stevv wrote: brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.

The ice age cycle is in the tens of thousands of years, not millions.
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Stevv



Joined: 14 Aug 2006
Posts: 14

Posted: Thu Aug 17, 2006 9:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.

The ice age cycle is in the tens of thousands of years, not millions.


I never said that ice ages only take thousands, I meant that if the whole entire Earth froze over it would take millions of years to get out.
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perdidochas



Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 15424
Location: Florida

Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2006 10:53 am    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

Stevv wrote: perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.

The ice age cycle is in the tens of thousands of years, not millions.


I never said that ice ages only take thousands, I meant that if the whole entire Earth froze over it would take millions of years to get out.

1) The whole earth cannot freeze over. It never has, and never will.
2) Ice age cycles take in the 10s of thousands of years.
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Stevv



Joined: 14 Aug 2006
Posts: 14

Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2006 7:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.

The ice age cycle is in the tens of thousands of years, not millions.


I never said that ice ages only take thousands, I meant that if the whole entire Earth froze over it would take millions of years to get out.

1) The whole earth cannot freeze over. It never has, and never will.
2) Ice age cycles take in the 10s of thousands of years.

Actually... I recently watched a show on the discovery channel of a 50-year-old theory that the Earth once totally froze over. Over the 50s and 60s and 70s most scientists dismissed it as "laughable" but now there is significant evidence that the total Earth froze over 600 million years ago. So, in theory, you simply cannot say that the Earth will never freeze over.
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perdidochas



Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 15424
Location: Florida

Posted: Sat Aug 19, 2006 2:59 pm    Post subject: Re: Billions predicted dead by 2100  

Stevv wrote: perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: perdidochas wrote: Stevv wrote: brian_in_idaho wrote: Climatic scientists were saying all the polution we were putting into the atmosphere was reflecting sunlight, and we were on our way to the next ice age.

Well, that is kind of what is going on now. When the ice sheets melt, all the freshwater being put into the ocean would not only raise the sea levels and create all those "lost cities of Atlantises" that I somewhat mentioned earlier, but it would slow down the transatlantic current even more than it already is (a lot slower than 50 years, possibly in a cycle) and then there wouldn't be any warm water flowing into northern Europe or Canada, creating somewhat of an ice age. Then, perhaps it is winter in the northern hemisphere, and a record cold winter. That would give time for the ice sheet to spread southward, and by springtime the sun wouldn't be enough to melt it as it would keep spreading. Then we'd have to wait another few million years till all the ice was gone.

The ice age cycle is in the tens of thousands of years, not millions.


I never said that ice ages only take thousands, I meant that if the whole entire Earth froze over it would take millions of years to get out.

1) The whole earth cannot freeze over. It never has, and never will.
2) Ice age cycles take in the 10s of thousands of years.

Actually... I recently watched a show on the discovery channel of a 50-year-old theory that the Earth once totally froze over. Over the 50s and 60s and 70s most scientists dismissed it as "laughable" but now there is significant evidence that the total Earth froze over 600 million years ago. So, in theory, you simply cannot say that the Earth will never freeze over.

The earth/sun system was different then. Basically, due to an increase in the sun's luminosity since then, most scientists think that outside of a large asteroid/comet impact, it is a very unlikely scenario.

www.snowballearth.org/could.html
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ChuckBerry



Joined: 01 Aug 2007
Posts: 2257
Location: Lafayette, LA

Posted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:29 am    Post subject:  

Wouldn't it be interesting if the predicted Islamization of Europe happened, and they inherit a popsicle? A re-emergence of the Nordic superman coming in waves down from Scandanavia to vanquish the shivering Mohammedans.........that sounds like the beginnings of a fun novel.
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bob.appleyard



Joined: 15 Oct 2005
Posts: 7684
Location: Manchestar, innit

Posted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 11:11 am    Post subject:  

John Galt wrote: wannabe wrote: dead from what? famine, drought?

Billions will be dead from old age by then.

I was going to say that...
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Anti-Spearsy



Joined: 01 Sep 2006
Posts: 67

Posted: Tue Sep 12, 2006 9:29 am    Post subject:  

Billions of dead by 2000..

Seriously, how long has the world been in existance?

Unless your stupid and think the world is a few thousand years old, ALOT.

Up till this point, it seems logical that at least a billion humans have died.
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00timh



Joined: 08 Nov 2004
Posts: 13009
Location: upstate NY

Posted: Sat Sep 16, 2006 3:12 am    Post subject:  

Will those of you who are predicting a enviromental catastrophe please come to a decision as to whether it will become much hotter or much colder. I want to know whether to buy more winter clothes or summer clothes.
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Free Thinkr



Joined: 27 Jul 2004
Posts: 12696
Location: Northwest Indiana

Posted: Sat Sep 16, 2006 4:43 pm    Post subject:  

00timh wrote: Will those of you who are predicting a enviromental catastrophe please come to a decision as to whether it will become much hotter or much colder. I want to know whether to buy more winter clothes or summer clothes.
Well, let's just hope their predictions of billions dead is about as accurate as their predictions for this year's hurricane season being worse than last year's. :lol:
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The Central Scrutinizer



Joined: 01 Feb 2006
Posts: 2926
Location: The Land The Enlightenment Forgot

Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 11:52 am    Post subject:  

John Galt wrote: wannabe wrote: dead from what? famine, drought?

Billions will be dead from old age by then.

That was my first thought exactly. I don't know the stats off the top of my head, but assuming that at least 50% of the world's population is above the age of 25, given life expectancies for that age group and above, at least 4-5 billion people will die between now and 2100.
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