Political Crossfire Forums

[Tysic]

The United States of America had long been the unrivaled superpower of the world. This fact has long been taken for granted by the people of the US and people around the world. I suggest that this longstanding assumption is about to change.

Since the end of the cold war, and the fall of communism, it has been generally assumed that Russia was no longer a world power. This is true. However; consistent and large economic growth in the country cannot be ignored. Russia has seen 6 straight years of GDP growth, all but one of which above five percent. Russia is also expected an increase of 6 percent GDP this year, making for 7 straight years of high economic growth.

1. Year % of change
1998 -4.9
1999 6.3
2000 10.0
2001 5.1
2002 4.7
2003 7.3
2004 8.2
2005 6(predicted)



Experts also predict continued increases in industrial production, and expect to see a five percent increase this year. The Russian government has also put much money into it’s high-tech sector, and are having a technology expo later this year, which is expected to perk the interests of worldwide investors.

Furthermore, under the leadership of President Vladimir Putin, the Russian government seems to have a renewed since of ambition. The Russian government has begun research on new ballistic missiles, and have entered into military alliances with China. Which brings me to my next point.

China has seen many straight years of double digit GDP growth. Though some economist worry that China will not be able sustain this economic growth, consistent increases in exports and no shortage of capital will fuel will continued economic growth of 8-10% for several years.

Coupled with this, China now seems to be taking an aggressive stance. The recent bill passed in the Chinese parliament authorizing a forceful reunification with Taiwan, and military alliances with Russia and Iran seem to support this. But if not, massive increases in military spending, and joint military exercises with Russia should do the trick.

It is my prediction that if economic trends in two countries continue and Russian-Chino relations continue to improve, the world we see a shift in the balance of power from America to Southeast Asia. The long assumed fact of American hegemony is about to change.

- Tysic Cummings

[Borommakot]

It's true the American people have gotten used to the idea of being the worlds most powerful superpower, I also agree that things might go exactly how you say. I guess the question is how is America going to take being demoted to number two or even three.

[desaview]

<<<<<The recent bill passed in the Chinese parliament authorizing a forceful reunification with Taiwan>>>>

This is wrong. China did not do that. China passed an anti secession act. It is not a reunification act. The new bill will ensure peace in the region as long as Taiwan do nothing towards independence. I am very dissappointed that when the press did not bother to write properly. Did the press intentionally distort it? Or people simply assume and not read properly?

As a foregner, let me tell you guys that when it comes to foreign affairs the american press is very much more irresponsible that you think.